India are chasing the series against England and they need a win in Nagpur to level things up to 2-2. Don’t expect the pitch to be as flat as a pancake for five days because India like to give their side an advantage which means the pitch could produce fireworks in the later days making the toss very important.
The threat coming into the Indian squad for the last game is leg spinner Piyush Chawla. So far, apart from the first Test, England have played the spin of Ashwin and Ojha extremely well but Chawla adds something different. He is a wrist spinner for starts which means if there is turn in this pitch, he will find it.
He also has all of the different variations in the book which will keep England on their toes. The pitch is likely to be quite dry and it will get dustier and start to break up as the match goes on. It’s the same for both sides but India will be gambling that a result pitch favours them over the tourists.
England are likely to go in unchanged so the news about Stuart Broad’s fresh heel problem won’t affect the side too much. The spin pairing of Graeme Swann and Monty Panesar have out bowled the Indian spinners in the series so far and England will back them to do so again.
Alastair Cook has lost all three tosses in this series and the one coming up is arguably the most important. If the Indians are going to be a little naughty and produce a pitch which starts turning square on the fourth and fifth day then England want to be in a position where they are not batting last.
Getting in and making a big total is something that England have done well so far in this series. If they bat first and make a big score of 500 plus then they India will be left with egg on their face unless the batsmen can smash England to all parts. If 500 plays 500 then the match could easily end up as a draw.
If England do lose the toss then they may have problems if the bowlers cannot dominate the Indian batting attack in the way they have in the last two Tests. India have been undone by a couple of collapses which have left them with poor scores. They will not hesitate to suffocate England with spin if they bat well in their first innings and put a huge score on the board.
Captain MS Dhoni has sent out the war cry which means Indian will go down fighting when the next Test starts on Thursday. The stadium will be full and the workers at the ground will do anything they can to try and give their team an advantage. The toss and the first innings for both sides is important, whoever has the advantage after this point should win the match.